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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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and the most recent polls in nevada and new hampshire have him up there as well. check this out! 332 electoral votes to 188 according -- i think i just knocked that out. to 191. that's from today. the only swing state that shows he is down -- actually tied today but down over all is in north carolina. and then there's pennsylvania. the romney camp made a $120,000 ad buy yesterday and three super pacs supporting romney have poured $6 million into pennsylvania just this week. why, you might ask? well, it's all part of their plan to quote, expand the electoral map. the president is up by four points in pennsylvania and they are still pouring all of that money into it. the poll out today was a franklin and marshall poll. and david axelrod placed an interesting range isser on whether the participate would take minnesota, michigan or pennsylvania. >> i will shave off my mustache if we lose any of those states. >> jennifer: that put david axelrod on the side of the american mustache lobby. and the american mustache institute put out a statement saying, quote . . . >> jennifer: all kiddi
and the most recent polls in nevada and new hampshire have him up there as well. check this out! 332 electoral votes to 188 according -- i think i just knocked that out. to 191. that's from today. the only swing state that shows he is down -- actually tied today but down over all is in north carolina. and then there's pennsylvania. the romney camp made a $120,000 ad buy yesterday and three super pacs supporting romney have poured $6 million into pennsylvania just this week. why, you might ask?...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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most recently, you were in nevada? >> caller: most recently i was in colorado, nevada the weekend before. >> stephanie: how are you feeling, those are two close states yes? >> caller: i feel pretty good. i'm cautiously optimistic. everyone was slapping me on the back on my way there. everyone is so freaked out over here in california. i felt like i was taking the burdens of my whole state over there. >> stephanie: we feel your pain. i was saying i cannot go to another party because i'm sick of people rattling me and asking you for answers. >> caller: they shake you by lapels. >> stephanie: i don't have any lapels left on my clothes. >> caller: fresh out of lapels! no! >> stephanie: we're all on one side of the part 17 divide, but you literally keep -- everyone says the same thing. how can this even be close? i feel mitt romney is such a pathetic candidate. when joe car borrow drops his head in his hands and says jesus, watching romney. >> caller: to me, what's strange is that he just seems to undefined. it's not so muc
most recently, you were in nevada? >> caller: most recently i was in colorado, nevada the weekend before. >> stephanie: how are you feeling, those are two close states yes? >> caller: i feel pretty good. i'm cautiously optimistic. everyone was slapping me on the back on my way there. everyone is so freaked out over here in california. i felt like i was taking the burdens of my whole state over there. >> stephanie: we feel your pain. i was saying i cannot go to another...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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then he is off to nevada, colorado and ohio. yesterday, obama toured the aftermath of hurricane sandy in new jersey along with governor chris christie who had nothing but kind words for the president. >> has worked incredibly closely with me. i cannot thank the president enough for his personal concern and compassion for our state and for the people of our state. >> the governor has said he has no intention of bringing romney to new jersey to survey the storm's damage. christie aides are denying any sort of rift with the romney campaign saying it is just about dealing with the storm and not about presidential politics. but one of the main political speculations here is that christie thinks romney has no chance of winning and he is setting himself up for a run in 2016. >>> romney has a good cause to be worried if the polls have anything to say about it. president obama is ahead six points in iowa. that's coming from the nbc news "wall street journal" morris poll. the president's also up by three in wisconsin and two in new hampsh
then he is off to nevada, colorado and ohio. yesterday, obama toured the aftermath of hurricane sandy in new jersey along with governor chris christie who had nothing but kind words for the president. >> has worked incredibly closely with me. i cannot thank the president enough for his personal concern and compassion for our state and for the people of our state. >> the governor has said he has no intention of bringing romney to new jersey to survey the storm's damage. christie...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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i think we all have nevada going blue? >> yes. >> remarkably, we all agree on something. >> we all agree on nevada. >> never happened before. >> yeah. i have it going blue because primarily because of early voting. early voting in nevada has 48,000 more democrats than republicans going to the polls in early voting, casting 700,000 votes. if projections go as planned and they get an 80% turnout, that means 70% of the votes have already been cast there. so me, that seems a pretty good indication of where this state is going. i'll give sail ver lia silver l mitt romney, and that is a lot like colorado. nevada has a very high mormon population. 7%, which is actually fairly high, and again, mormons accounted for a quarter of the electorate in the caucuses. so i think if they turn out in big numbers and it's been really hard to tell where they're at, because they haven't been very vocal, but if they turn out in big numbers, i think mitt romney could get the state. i don't expect him to. >> i would expect him to turn out in big n
i think we all have nevada going blue? >> yes. >> remarkably, we all agree on something. >> we all agree on nevada. >> never happened before. >> yeah. i have it going blue because primarily because of early voting. early voting in nevada has 48,000 more democrats than republicans going to the polls in early voting, casting 700,000 votes. if projections go as planned and they get an 80% turnout, that means 70% of the votes have already been cast there. so me, that...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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. >> what part of nevada are you from? >> we're from australia. >> nevada is a swing state, but colorado is also a swing state. are you getting inundated with ads. >> oh my gosh. it's horrible. >> does it make you more engaged in the process or less. >> less. i turn the station now. i'm not even watching the tv now. i don't want to hear it we got to catch the bus. >> not a good time if you're in vegas. >> i have another headache from my holiday costume. have you seen that show britney and abby? they were conjoined. i was that, britney and abby. i had an extra head. >> who do you think is ahead. >> romney all the way. >> why? >> obama is not the biggest fan here. >> of gambling? >> no, obama is just--nobody likes him here. >> the odds are-- >> they don't like him over here. >> yet you're in agreement. >> i don't like him either. >> how come? >> he sucks. he has ruined the economy in in the last four years basically. he needs to go. >> it's funny to make fun of conjoined twins. >> selma hayek. >> let me ask you a question ab
. >> what part of nevada are you from? >> we're from australia. >> nevada is a swing state, but colorado is also a swing state. are you getting inundated with ads. >> oh my gosh. it's horrible. >> does it make you more engaged in the process or less. >> less. i turn the station now. i'm not even watching the tv now. i don't want to hear it we got to catch the bus. >> not a good time if you're in vegas. >> i have another headache from my holiday...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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. >> nevada i take more votes away from obama. in north carolina, michigan, i take more votes away from romney. i think it's really equal on both sides. >> cenk: now wait until i show you the numbers how much different it is when you include a third-party candidate in which no polling was done until two days ago. oh boy, and the elbow of the day, that's republican-on-republican crime. everybody, it's go time. >> romney: i'm mitt romney. i believe in america. and i'm running for president. >> an underdog senator. nobody thought that he had a chance. now he's the president. >> romney: that is quite an orlando welcome. we ask that you stay at this all the way until victory on tuesday night. >> i stood with president obama four years ago and i'm proud to be standing here with him today. [ singing ] >> every day i'm concerned about women's rights and health issues. i don't need to tell you about the dangers to roe versus wade. >> tomorrow we begin a new tomorrow. >> we know what change looks like then ♪ ohio ♪ make some noise ♪ >
. >> nevada i take more votes away from obama. in north carolina, michigan, i take more votes away from romney. i think it's really equal on both sides. >> cenk: now wait until i show you the numbers how much different it is when you include a third-party candidate in which no polling was done until two days ago. oh boy, and the elbow of the day, that's republican-on-republican crime. everybody, it's go time. >> romney: i'm mitt romney. i believe in america. and i'm running...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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nevada at 15.1%. colorado 15.7%. swing states where you're winning by a margin of 3-1 this can really shift those tightly tightly-fought states. answer for me, why was mitt romney so tone deaf on the issue of immigration? >> well, you know, it's not just mitt romney. it's the republican party really. when they had the tea party waved and most of the moderate republicans were swept out of office because they lost primary elections to these very extreme tea party candidate tea party candidates are completely wrong on the issue of immigration and they're amped up with their rhetoric. i think the republican party has a lot of soul searching to do. here in the state of california republican registration has dipped below 30% for the first tame. they're quickly becoming a permanent minority party. they've completely missed the boat on immigration. we're a country of immigrants. the majority of people regardless of their political affiliation think that immigration is good for this country, and it revitalizes this country. m
nevada at 15.1%. colorado 15.7%. swing states where you're winning by a margin of 3-1 this can really shift those tightly tightly-fought states. answer for me, why was mitt romney so tone deaf on the issue of immigration? >> well, you know, it's not just mitt romney. it's the republican party really. when they had the tea party waved and most of the moderate republicans were swept out of office because they lost primary elections to these very extreme tea party candidate tea party...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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some would argue that michigan and nevada should have been leaning obama. we have a very close election. it will be decided on election night with a bunch of potential surprises. >>chris: you have a white board? karl: on the 3rd of november in 2008, president obama was at or above 50 percent in seven of the 13 battleground states that year. in the same states this year, same day, president obama is at 50 percent, not above 50 percent but 50 percent in two, wisconsin and nevada, and wisconsin, he is only at 50 percent because there is one poll that has an eight-point lead. we have gone from cruising to victory in 2008 to a tight, tight, tight race in 2012. >>chris: a last question, what do you make of romney going to pennsylvania and what do you make of obama with last minute ad buys in florida and virginia. who is serious? who is bluffing in. >> they are all serious. president obama has difficulty in florida and virginia, where the clear politics average goes to romney and pennsylvania is in play. if president obama was comfortable with pennsylvania he what
some would argue that michigan and nevada should have been leaning obama. we have a very close election. it will be decided on election night with a bunch of potential surprises. >>chris: you have a white board? karl: on the 3rd of november in 2008, president obama was at or above 50 percent in seven of the 13 battleground states that year. in the same states this year, same day, president obama is at 50 percent, not above 50 percent but 50 percent in two, wisconsin and nevada, and...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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iowa has one and one in nevada, virginia new hampshire and florida. that's all right? is that where you would be telling them to spend -- >> he wins ohio, he wins. i don't see there's any path for romney to win this without ohio. >> jennifer: if romney won everything else -- >> he could win everything else but it makes it almost impossible for him. i would be in ohio. i would be in virginia. i would be in iowa. >> jennifer: would you be in north carolina joe? >> no. >> jennifer: really? >> yeah. >> jennifer: even though early voting is -- what about florida? >> no. i would spend more time -- >> jennifer: 2 points up. >> you can block -- you know, you force the other campaign to spend money. you keep it tight and it is a chance -- there's absolutely no way he can get florida. >> the thing about this race which i've never seen before in the five presidential races i've worked on, there's more money than god. you can put it anywhere. $3 billion so who cares where you put it. you can put it anywhere. >> jennifer: romney is spending money in minnesota and other places sayin
iowa has one and one in nevada, virginia new hampshire and florida. that's all right? is that where you would be telling them to spend -- >> he wins ohio, he wins. i don't see there's any path for romney to win this without ohio. >> jennifer: if romney won everything else -- >> he could win everything else but it makes it almost impossible for him. i would be in ohio. i would be in virginia. i would be in iowa. >> jennifer: would you be in north carolina joe? >>...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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i've been in colorado, nevada. most recently we were in ohio driving people to the polls to early voting getting them to the bureau of elections. and speaking wherever we could to get people motivated. >> stephanie: how is it feeling? obviously the numbers coming back, you know, obviously seems like overwhelmingly democrats are early voting, seems like a good sign for the president yeah? >> yeah. i mean -- i honestly feel better about it than i'm comfortable saying but i do think that -- i'm seeing that we do need to get folks out to vote and i'm surprised at the amount of young people that are towing this line of apathy and indifference. maybe it doesn't concern me. people really need to kind of appreciate -- i think some people including -- the younger generation of folks who don't really necessarily appreciate how special it is to be able to have your right to vote and to be able to make your vote count. remember in 2000, that came down to 537 votes in florida. so the popular vote does matter. having a referendu
i've been in colorado, nevada. most recently we were in ohio driving people to the polls to early voting getting them to the bureau of elections. and speaking wherever we could to get people motivated. >> stephanie: how is it feeling? obviously the numbers coming back, you know, obviously seems like overwhelmingly democrats are early voting, seems like a good sign for the president yeah? >> yeah. i mean -- i honestly feel better about it than i'm comfortable saying but i do think...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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we're seeing that pattern play out in the other swing states, too like nevada, virginia, wisconsin. so the republicans are trying to make up ground. in florida we're seeing this because republican leaders are on a two-day bus tour promoting early voting. here is romney florida campaign chairman adam putnam. >> we want to drive people to the polls in every conceivable form. we want oh to be there on tuesday and early votes and we want to open that gap back up. >> jennifer: but if it doesn't work, the romney campaign might have a backup plan of playing dirty. for voters who show up without a photo i.d. even though there is no photo i.d. law in iowa nevertheless they're showing poll watchers this training video. >> first, there may be an incidence where the voter fails to show voter i.d. and they are still allowed to vote. use the alert button so they can handle problems and they can get back to helping voters. >> jennifer: if you can't beat them join them. this is scary stuff and it's also a sign that they're getting desperate. for a perspective of early voting and last-minute polling
we're seeing that pattern play out in the other swing states, too like nevada, virginia, wisconsin. so the republicans are trying to make up ground. in florida we're seeing this because republican leaders are on a two-day bus tour promoting early voting. here is romney florida campaign chairman adam putnam. >> we want to drive people to the polls in every conceivable form. we want oh to be there on tuesday and early votes and we want to open that gap back up. >> jennifer: but if it...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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president obama also winning new hampshire michigan, nevada, wisconsin! paul ryan said home state. >> paul ryan who? >> bill: i know. and of course, ohio! right! and then. >> got my ohio state hat on. >> bill: north carolina, sadly went to mitt romney, and that's a battleground state he won. florida is still -- don't know where we came out. >> too close to call. >> bill: the president last night stepping on stage at the mccormick center, first thing he did was salute. there were three people that really helped. bill clinton for sure. joe biden for sure and michelle obama. >> michelle, i have never loved you more, i have never been prouder that watch the rest of america fall in love with you too, as our nation's first lady. [ cheers and applause ] >> bill: a great moment there. the president saying last night listen i have not maybe been the perfect president. he always says that, but i was listening to what you wanted me to do and i tried to do my best. >> obama: whether i earned our vote or not, i have listened to you. i have learned from you and you've
president obama also winning new hampshire michigan, nevada, wisconsin! paul ryan said home state. >> paul ryan who? >> bill: i know. and of course, ohio! right! and then. >> got my ohio state hat on. >> bill: north carolina, sadly went to mitt romney, and that's a battleground state he won. florida is still -- don't know where we came out. >> too close to call. >> bill: the president last night stepping on stage at the mccormick center, first thing he did...
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Nov 8, 2012
11/12
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. ♪ nah, nah, nah, nah ♪ >> i think the republican won in nevada. >> stephanie: yeah. in logical universe rove would never be allowed to consult on a race again, and no one would give a dime to their ineffective super pac. 1% of the more than $100 million spent by american cross roads achieved it goal. in the -- >> so clearly -- >> >> stephanie: reuter's earlier this year rove said he wanted cross roads to be a permanent presence. oh no. [ laughter ] >> stephanie: oh i'm having so much fun. fifty-eight minutes after the hour. right back on the "stephanie miller show." ♪ [♪ theme music ♪] >> stephanie: hello, welcome to hour number 2, everybody. representative adam schiff coming up this hour, and next hour mudcat saunders. hi, jacki schechner. >> good morning. >> stephanie: are we officially having too much fun now? >> little bit. i felt like yesterday i had been on a multi-month bender and it was like going through the hangover, because there was a sheer exhaustion. thank god it is over. >> stephanie: yes. karl rove shifted for a few gyms in the election rubble.
. ♪ nah, nah, nah, nah ♪ >> i think the republican won in nevada. >> stephanie: yeah. in logical universe rove would never be allowed to consult on a race again, and no one would give a dime to their ineffective super pac. 1% of the more than $100 million spent by american cross roads achieved it goal. in the -- >> so clearly -- >> >> stephanie: reuter's earlier this year rove said he wanted cross roads to be a permanent presence. oh no. [ laughter ] >>...
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Nov 9, 2012
11/12
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you have awakened a sleeping giant, essay, and we brought it home in california colorado new mexico, nevada and even florida. 2-1 non-cuban latinos voted for obama.% >> it was admiral yamamoto but i get your point. >> caller: [ inaudible ] >> stephanie: i would say mojitos for everyone. robert congratulations. >> caller: thank you. let's go to tony in miami. >> caller: hey, steph i'm one of though latinos who waited in long lines for a long time and did some monitoring for the obama campaign. and there was a lot of females with the look of oh, know you didn't, vote. >> stephanie: yeah. ♪ nah, nah, nah, nah ♪ >> stephanie: hi, floyd, welcome. >> caller: listen, i just wanted to talk about the rhetoric and the hate coming off of the other networks right now. i watched glen beck yesterday and he practically scared me away from the show. you have to know all of the information out there. >> stephanie: yeah and he was already a tad bit tightly wound before this whole thing, right? >> caller: yeah, but now he has gotten a bit more scarey. >> stephanie: you think so? ♪ hey, you ♪ -- >> get
you have awakened a sleeping giant, essay, and we brought it home in california colorado new mexico, nevada and even florida. 2-1 non-cuban latinos voted for obama.% >> it was admiral yamamoto but i get your point. >> caller: [ inaudible ] >> stephanie: i would say mojitos for everyone. robert congratulations. >> caller: thank you. let's go to tony in miami. >> caller: hey, steph i'm one of though latinos who waited in long lines for a long time and did some...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state. that's how bad it is. >> so why is mitt romney going to pennsylvania? >> well, i think he's looking at the fact that he can't win in ohio, he's behind there. even his people are sort of acknowledging that that's falling off the map. he has to either win in wisconsin which is also looking very much out of reach. or he has to figure out some other path of pennsylvania. i don't think it's credible but he's trying to do at least a head fake to figure out you some other path to get there. >> jonathan, to you. you might have thought that
nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state....
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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the president is leading in the five remaining swing states iowa wisconsin, new hampshire colorado nevada. remember some of these averages include polls from biased sources, rasmussen and public policy polling but there is nobody i'd rather to speak to than the one woman who can make sense of all of this an tell us how it's going to play out tomorrow lynn la lake, penalty of the democratic consulting firm lake research partners. she joins us from washington d.c. linda, it is like christmas eve for political junkies. >> it's great to be here. you're right, it is christmas eve for those pollsters. >> it is so fun. how do you feel about tomorrow? >> i feel cautiously optimistic, but i think you had the most important story. we cannot let this election be stolen by people throwing voters away and throwing voters out. it's an outrage what's going on in states like florida and ohio. >> it is, and it's a marginal amount. if ohio is insisting on 300,000 people using provisional ballots and setting you will hurdles all of that makes a difference. what early results might predict who wins, what are
the president is leading in the five remaining swing states iowa wisconsin, new hampshire colorado nevada. remember some of these averages include polls from biased sources, rasmussen and public policy polling but there is nobody i'd rather to speak to than the one woman who can make sense of all of this an tell us how it's going to play out tomorrow lynn la lake, penalty of the democratic consulting firm lake research partners. she joins us from washington d.c. linda, it is like christmas eve...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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what i'm seeing, and when you look at the early-voting numbers in these battleground states i was in nevada and those early voting numbers are really good. so i would -- i think numbers don't lie, and you have got to look at the turnout so far. >> stephanie: i haven't north carolina. do you know -- what are the latest numbers you have heard? >> it just seems like you know, african american students, they are discouraged, they are not going to turn out, blah blah blah. well, so far they have been turning out and turning out in huge numbers. north carolina was exceedingly close in 2008 so look it is going to be tough, but it certainly isn't this -- it's interesting. the pundits write off certain states, i think in part to make it a horse race. >> stephanie: yeah, sure. >> romney has north carolina so we can give that to his total, and how close can we make this, but the truth is you know, the only thing we can really say is it is incumbent upon every citizen to express their viewpoint by voting and participating, and the numbers will be what they will be. >> stephanie: ben, in the state where
what i'm seeing, and when you look at the early-voting numbers in these battleground states i was in nevada and those early voting numbers are really good. so i would -- i think numbers don't lie, and you have got to look at the turnout so far. >> stephanie: i haven't north carolina. do you know -- what are the latest numbers you have heard? >> it just seems like you know, african american students, they are discouraged, they are not going to turn out, blah blah blah. well, so far...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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here's a look where polls close at 10:00 eastern, iowa, montana, nevada and utah. humans -- even when we cross our t's and dot our i's, we still run into problems. namely, other humans. which is why, at liberty mutual insurance, auto policies come with new car replacement and accident forgiveness if you qualify. see what else comes standard at libertymutual.com. liberty mutual insurance. responsibility. what's your policy? [ male announcer ] the way it moves. the way it cleans. everything about the oral-b power brush is simply revolutionary. oral-b power brushes oscillate, rotate and even pulsate to gently loosen and break up that sticky plaque with more brush movements than manual brushes and even up to 50% more than leading sonic technology brushes for a superior clean. oral-b power brushes. go to oralb.com fothe latest offers. yeah, the cisco ucsc series server, with the intel xeon processors, help us scale smoothly, like a perfect golf swing. how was it before? clunky and full of unnecessary impediments. like charles' swing. i heard that. >>> no matter what the
here's a look where polls close at 10:00 eastern, iowa, montana, nevada and utah. humans -- even when we cross our t's and dot our i's, we still run into problems. namely, other humans. which is why, at liberty mutual insurance, auto policies come with new car replacement and accident forgiveness if you qualify. see what else comes standard at libertymutual.com. liberty mutual insurance. responsibility. what's your policy? [ male announcer ] the way it moves. the way it cleans. everything about...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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MSNBC
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president needs to win just three in order to win a second term to get 271 electoral votes and those are nevada where there are six votes, wisconsin where there are ten and here in ohio, there are 18. and winning just those three of all these battle grounds gets you to 271 in a very narrow win, but that's what would do it for him and they feel very good about those three states. >> assuming they hold pennsylvania. >> that's true. that is a big point right there. >> i think there's a sense that florida might be moving in romney's direction. structurally, that's always been the most problematic of the battleground states for obama. and if i were betting, i would bet romney carries florida. >> and we're hearing from the romney side that there's a bit of a head fake there. >> it may be. what a lot of strategists have told me is if you're going to make a play for a state, you need to do it at least three weeks before election day. so one week out, not even a full week, makes it tough. it might be too little too late for mitt romney where they are spending a lot of money at this last minute. but they
president needs to win just three in order to win a second term to get 271 electoral votes and those are nevada where there are six votes, wisconsin where there are ten and here in ohio, there are 18. and winning just those three of all these battle grounds gets you to 271 in a very narrow win, but that's what would do it for him and they feel very good about those three states. >> assuming they hold pennsylvania. >> that's true. that is a big point right there. >> i think...
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Nov 1, 2012
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live picture of air force one which has just touched down in las vegas in the battleground state of nevada. the president is expected to come down those stairs at any moment. the campaign -- a day after witnessing the devastation of hurricane sandy and just five days before the election, nevada will be the second of three stops today for the president, which began in wisconsin and will ultimately end in colorado. and here with a preview of the last days of campaigning is nbc's kristin welker who is awaiting the president in las vegas. kristin, we've been hearing some conservatives complain about the president's excellent working relationship with republican new jersey governor chris christie in the aftermath of the storm. how is the white house handling those complaints? >> well, martin, good afternoon. the white house publicly is saying they're not going to comment on the complaints or the president's visit really, what it could mean politically, because they say this is not a time for politics. i can tell you privately though that both democrats and republicans were a little bit surprise
live picture of air force one which has just touched down in las vegas in the battleground state of nevada. the president is expected to come down those stairs at any moment. the campaign -- a day after witnessing the devastation of hurricane sandy and just five days before the election, nevada will be the second of three stops today for the president, which began in wisconsin and will ultimately end in colorado. and here with a preview of the last days of campaigning is nbc's kristin welker...
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Nov 5, 2012
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we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers bhap do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i think a lot of us, we're sort of victims of 2004. before 2004 we were all more convinced of the challenger incumbent rule. that somehow challengers always got the undecided and then a tie goes to the challenger. then you're happened when bush won frankly as many of the undecided as he did. then you'd have to go back to '76 the last time the person with momentum lost at the end. lost the popular vote. that was ford. ford had the momentum but carter won in the end. even gore, he had the last-second momentum. he did win the popular vote. having the momentum has it in the
we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers bhap do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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having the governor of nevada, you know, that's kind of standard political stuff. i'm not sure how much that helps. >> we've just gotten some new numbers from visible measure, which is a tracking firm. there's a provocative obama ad that's gotten nearly 3 million views in the past week. i want to play a little clip. >> your first time shouldn't be with just anybody. you want to do it with a great guy. someone who really cares about and understands women. a guy who cares whether you get health insurance, spaeskly whether you get birth control. my first time voting was amazing. before i was a girl. now i'm a woman. i went to the polling station, pulled back the curtain. i voted for barack obama. >> now, some conservatives and others have called this ad a little creepy, but what do you think? is it effective? >> well, you have to remember, it's a targeted ad. it has driven some people in the right crazy. it's targeted to snarky, urban, liberal women. to the virginity analogy is kind of apt for that. i think they think it was clever. she's been called the voice of her
having the governor of nevada, you know, that's kind of standard political stuff. i'm not sure how much that helps. >> we've just gotten some new numbers from visible measure, which is a tracking firm. there's a provocative obama ad that's gotten nearly 3 million views in the past week. i want to play a little clip. >> your first time shouldn't be with just anybody. you want to do it with a great guy. someone who really cares about and understands women. a guy who cares whether you...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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let's look at nevada. it has the highest unemployment rate of the so-called tossup states. 11.8%. colorado's much closer to the national average. it's at 8%. the national average is 7.9%. here in iowa, it's lower. florida, much higher, 8.7%. but iowa has one of the lowest jobless rates in the country. it has for some time, 5.2%. they actually have a problem finding workers. let's go back to iowa where mitt romney is speaking. >> i know most of you here have decided who you're voting for in three more days. but you have some neighbors who haven't made up their minds yet. and so i want to make sure that i give you all the arguments you need to make sure that you convince some of them to come vote for our team. paw rye paul ryan and i want to bring real change to america. so some folks are putting aside the demands of daily life and focusing on this campaign. they want to know what the future is going to hold depending on who becomes the next president. who's going to affect their life and their family's life and who is going to affect the country in the way it will make the greatest
let's look at nevada. it has the highest unemployment rate of the so-called tossup states. 11.8%. colorado's much closer to the national average. it's at 8%. the national average is 7.9%. here in iowa, it's lower. florida, much higher, 8.7%. but iowa has one of the lowest jobless rates in the country. it has for some time, 5.2%. they actually have a problem finding workers. let's go back to iowa where mitt romney is speaking. >> i know most of you here have decided who you're voting for...
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Nov 6, 2012
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if you look at ohio, if you look at wisconsin, if you look at nevada, if you look at iowa, the president has been consist eventually in the lead there. and romney basically has to run the table to even have a shot. >> but the republican argument, ari, which was the john kerry argument, which has always been the argument in these situations, is when the incumbent polls below 50, the incumbent is in danger no matter what the other number is. so if the incumbent is at 48, the challenger is at 46, the challenger is probably in a better position, most of the time. however, we're making new mathematical history in these campaigns all the time. and you can see that argument, because it's an old argument. it's been around a while. it didn't work for john kerry and it's hard to say what's going to happen now. >> yeah. i spent over a year working seven days a week for john kerry so i'm familiar with that argument, i remember that argument. i think the critical question then as now is whether the challenger is viewed to be credible by election day. if you look at polling of a generic republican ver
if you look at ohio, if you look at wisconsin, if you look at nevada, if you look at iowa, the president has been consist eventually in the lead there. and romney basically has to run the table to even have a shot. >> but the republican argument, ari, which was the john kerry argument, which has always been the argument in these situations, is when the incumbent polls below 50, the incumbent is in danger no matter what the other number is. so if the incumbent is at 48, the challenger is...
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Nov 5, 2012
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giuliani on friday, accusing the president of dereliction of duty, he shouldn't have been campaigning in nevada. he should have been in rockaway, and places where people have been suffering. do the people feel strongly the president should have come to where you are? >> reporter: well, i -- those i talked to know that the president came out to the area -- those who are supportive of him, and those who aren't, but there main thing is, they don't -- they just want people to get help to them at this point. they're not worried about the politics and the election and the campaigning. they're just seeking help. they need power, they need to get their lives back in order, and so far they haven't seen much help out here. >> newark new jersey was also hit hard by sandy. cory booker is walking the streets, asking for help. >> there's still tens of thousands of residents without power. you have streets like this, where there's not only no power, but trees have fallen through their homes. i will say this about our city, about the state of new jersey, our nation. people are often at their best when things a
giuliani on friday, accusing the president of dereliction of duty, he shouldn't have been campaigning in nevada. he should have been in rockaway, and places where people have been suffering. do the people feel strongly the president should have come to where you are? >> reporter: well, i -- those i talked to know that the president came out to the area -- those who are supportive of him, and those who aren't, but there main thing is, they don't -- they just want people to get help to them...
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Nov 5, 2012
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who is actually showing up, who is casting ballots, and, states like ohio, iowa, nevada, florida, we're doing very, very well. what they are doing is comparing this to 2008, and you and i have had the discussion. i am not suggesting we will win by the same margin we won in 2008. and, they are comparing themselves to john mccain, who had virtually no ground operation in many of these states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we are doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >> chris: let me ask you, briefly, about florida, where president obama is down by more than a point, in the polls. and yet you are making your final advertising by the campaign there. in florida. why not in the state you must win? >> well, first of all, we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been a spate of polls, in fact in all of these polls, battle ground state polls that came out the last 48 hours, we are ahead in 90% of them, including florida. and there were a couple of mixed polls in florida, but we are very pleased
who is actually showing up, who is casting ballots, and, states like ohio, iowa, nevada, florida, we're doing very, very well. what they are doing is comparing this to 2008, and you and i have had the discussion. i am not suggesting we will win by the same margin we won in 2008. and, they are comparing themselves to john mccain, who had virtually no ground operation in many of these states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we...
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in would argue that mash -- michigan and nevada should be leaning obama before last week. we have a very close election. and it is going to be decided on election night with -- with a bunch of potential surprises. >> chris: you have a white board. >> think about this. on the third of november, 2008, president obamma was at or above 50% in 7 of the 13 states that year. in those same state this is year, on same date, 4 years later, he is 50%, not above, but 50% in just two, wisconsin and nev dismef and wisconsin, he is only at 50% because there is 1 pole, an outliwer an 8-point lead. we have gone from cruise into victory in 2008, to a tight, tight, tight race in 2012. >> chris: lanlast question. what do you make of romney going to pennsylvania today? what do you make of obama with last-minute ad buys in florida and virginia? who's got in wind at the back? who is serious? hois bluffing? >> they are all serious and they are not bluffing. president obama has difficulty in florida and virginia two, states where the real clear politics average goes to romney. and pennsylvania has
in would argue that mash -- michigan and nevada should be leaning obama before last week. we have a very close election. and it is going to be decided on election night with -- with a bunch of potential surprises. >> chris: you have a white board. >> think about this. on the third of november, 2008, president obamma was at or above 50% in 7 of the 13 states that year. in those same state this is year, on same date, 4 years later, he is 50%, not above, but 50% in just two, wisconsin...
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i've been in here 23, 24 days, i think we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. it also could be close. but the firewall here of ohio, wisconsin, iowa -- >> talk to your stake holders. tell them what they should do on tuesday. >> if you can vote early, vote earlier. but don't just vote, bring your mom, your dad, bring your cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. the middle depends on it. >> vice president joe biden, thank you for your time. good luck. >>> north carolina and colorado look pretty tough. coming up, where does the race stand? we have the results of the latest and last poll before the election. that's next. and we have our top people here tonight. chuck todd, howard fineman, eugene robinson and others. the big question is about big bill. if president obama does win re-election tuesday night, the person he can thank the most perhaps probably is the guy he was campaigning with in new hampshire, bill clinton, the big dog could be the one who pulls him over the
i've been in here 23, 24 days, i think we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. it also could be close. but the firewall here of ohio, wisconsin, iowa -- >> talk to your stake holders. tell them what they should do on tuesday. >> if you can vote early, vote earlier. but don't just vote, bring your mom, your dad, bring your cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. the...
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Nov 22, 2012
11/12
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visítenos en capitol expressway ford, tenemos gente que viene de todos lados del norte de california y nevada también, mire nada más este fantástico 2004 chrysler pt cruiser, perfecto para la ciudad, aire acondicionado, cd player, ventanas eléctricas y muchísimo más. llévatelo ya por $7,988, así es, especial del manager, o $79 de enganche o $79 al mes, y lo único que tienes que hacer es levantar el teléfono y llamarnos ya a capitol expressway ford. llama ya a capitol expressway ford porque tenemos una gran selección de autos nuevos, como esta fabulosa 2013 ford escape, muy divertida de manejar, además muy completa, aire acondicionado, ventanas eléctricas, cd player, conexión mp3, sistema sync y te da hasta 30 millas por galón. llévatela ya con solo $219 al mes, así es, $219 al mes, agarra el teléfono y llámanos ya a capitol expressway ford. si tiene problemas de bancarrota o con su hipoteca, no se preocupe, venga a capitol expressway ford porque nosotros le queremos ayudar a financiar un auto como este fantástico 2009 honda civic, asientos de piel, automático, aire acondi
visítenos en capitol expressway ford, tenemos gente que viene de todos lados del norte de california y nevada también, mire nada más este fantástico 2004 chrysler pt cruiser, perfecto para la ciudad, aire acondicionado, cd player, ventanas eléctricas y muchísimo más. llévatelo ya por $7,988, así es, especial del manager, o $79 de enganche o $79 al mes, y lo único que tienes que hacer es levantar el teléfono y llamarnos ya a capitol expressway ford. llama ya a capitol expressway ford...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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shelly berkeley out in nevada. joe donnelly -- >> you know what? where were we two years ago in a horrible election year for democrats talking about harry reid who's going to lose and if he was going to win, he was only going to win with 46%. it has been nurtured and pruned and kind of grown and harvested over the last -- since really the '08 election with obama and perfected in 2010. we'll see what it can do for shelley berkley in 2012. >> bill: todd akin's baby brother, richard mourdock -- >> i think that will be an upset. >> bill: the rape twins. i think we pick up indiana. >> god intended us to win that. >> bill: joe donnelly. >> god intended that. >> bill: he put richard mourdock there. >> i think we'll win there. we could conceive -- i'm not saying this is going to happen but i think there's a better shot that democrats will actually gain seats in the senate than it is that republicans could get the majority. >> bill: and you've mentioned that for the lgbt community this could be a big year. >> it's going to be a big year. if tammy baldwin wi
shelly berkeley out in nevada. joe donnelly -- >> you know what? where were we two years ago in a horrible election year for democrats talking about harry reid who's going to lose and if he was going to win, he was only going to win with 46%. it has been nurtured and pruned and kind of grown and harvested over the last -- since really the '08 election with obama and perfected in 2010. we'll see what it can do for shelley berkley in 2012. >> bill: todd akin's baby brother, richard...
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nevada may well be one that we don't carry. what's interesting about ohio, that state does not have a large minority vote. it's about 85% white. if romney were getting the same white vote there he gets in virginia, where he is tied and the romney campaign is nervous, he would be winning ohio. that's also the story in pennsylvania. one quick footnote on pennsylvania. one reason the romney guys like it, even though historically it is more democratic, is there has not been a campaign there. they haven't had the $200 million of negative ads. so romney's numbers are better there in a lot of the states where they have trench warfare. >> people may not believe this, but there is a morning after this race, tom and savannah. and what happens in washington after that? david brooks in his column writes about the fiscal cliff which happens at the end of this year, big tax increases and also cuts. here's what he writes. the bottom line is this. if obama wins, he'll probably get small bore stacis. if romney wins, we are more likely to get re
nevada may well be one that we don't carry. what's interesting about ohio, that state does not have a large minority vote. it's about 85% white. if romney were getting the same white vote there he gets in virginia, where he is tied and the romney campaign is nervous, he would be winning ohio. that's also the story in pennsylvania. one quick footnote on pennsylvania. one reason the romney guys like it, even though historically it is more democratic, is there has not been a campaign there. they...
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Nov 5, 2012
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he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton to pennsylvania, to philadelphia, tomorrow, but they're not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> well, he was obama's great explainer. he was like the obama whisperer at the democratic convention in charlotte. he's been a campaigner. and he's been a good friend and increasingly somebody that the president relies on. if the president wins re-election, i'm convinced bill clinton's next job will be to help the president sell a budget deal to democrats who may not want to go along. that's almost a tougher job than getting the president re-elected. >> are you worried about the voter suppression that is taking place in ohio? it seems to be much more intense in ohio. much more organized, county to county, it looks like they have really done a job. the numbers are down. for instanc
he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton to pennsylvania, to philadelphia, tomorrow, but they're not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> well, he was obama's great explainer. he was like the obama whisperer at the democratic convention in charlotte....